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      07-06-2018, 02:30 PM   #23
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How many SAVs are the Chinese buying? They may not be as price sensitive if there is significant brand loyalty. Buick's have been overpriced in China for years yet demand keeps increasing. BMW may start making some SAVs oversees but the US is still the largest market for these vehicles and won't be affected by tariffs.
Last year's sales were 537k BMW's in China, compared to 307k in the US. I didn't find a breakout by model, but it looks like the X3 was the second best seller. However it also looks like BMW is starting X3 production in China this year.
Any non SAV BMW sold in China is made there so wouldn't be related to US production. It would be good to know what percentage are US built SAVs
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      07-06-2018, 02:32 PM   #24
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How many SAVs are the Chinese buying? They may not be as price sensitive if there is significant brand loyalty. Buick's have been overpriced in China for years yet demand keeps increasing. BMW may start making some SAVs oversees but the US is still the largest market for these vehicles and won't be affected by tariffs.
Last year's sales were 537k BMW's in China, compared to 307k in the US. I didn't find a breakout by model, but it looks like the X3 was the second best seller. However it also looks like BMW is starting X3 production in China this year.
Any non SAV BMW sold in China is made there so wouldn't be related to US production. It would be good to know what percentage are US built SAVs
Sounds like between the new plant in Rossylyn SA and the new one in China for the LWB X3, it will soon be zero.
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      07-06-2018, 03:57 PM   #25
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I have a tough time understanding this article... the price of US made BMWs going to China will increase? Lol that sounds like a serious hit to China / BMW more so than the USA. BMWs profits as a corporation do not remain in the USA and with the growing economy in China; this hurts BMW and China more so than in any way the US. We are still the largest market for cars coming out of that plant if I am not mistaken... don't worry about the jobs. this would be how a trade war works.
Cliff notes version: Increased pricing will most likely lead to lower demand. Lower demand = less production = less workers. Net/net this is a loss for BMW and US, specifically the people employed in these US plants.
The US is the largest market by a mile of crossovers and suv's... and with China's recent money; i simply dont see such a demand drop as people might be going on and on about.
This makes sense if there are no other options for the Chinese but every other luxury car manufacturer who isn't producing/shipping cars from the US will have better pricing than BMW. I don't think Audi, Mercedes, etc... are going to raise their prices as well.

This distributive form of negotiation works great when there's only 2 parties splitting up the pie. Unfortunately this is a much more complex situation where the Chinese will have similar alternatives that will cost less.
Exactly. The other European and Japanese manufacturers will sell their cars in China. Without having to increase their price.
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      07-07-2018, 06:01 AM   #26
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Prior to May of 2018, wasn't China already charging a 25% tariff on US made Car imports? Then due to pressure from the US, they reduced it to 15% temporarily until this article yesterday that it is going back to 25%. So it seems it's just back to what China was always charging and therefore should have no added impact? So no one seemed to worry about Chinese demand for BMWs over the last decade of 25% tariffs. I know there are a lot of Trump haters here, but he is ultimately trying to get that 25% down which would help BMW and the USA. It seemed to temporarily work back in May and I'm still optimistic that when this is all said and done we will overall be in a better place with reduced tariffs that will have a positive impact on Americans.
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      07-07-2018, 09:26 AM   #27
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      07-07-2018, 11:51 AM   #28
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Quote:
Originally Posted by trey100 View Post
Prior to May of 2018, wasn't China already charging a 25% tariff on US made Car imports? Then due to pressure from the US, they reduced it to 15% temporarily until this article yesterday that it is going back to 25%. So it seems it's just back to what China was always charging and therefore should have no added impact? So no one seemed to worry about Chinese demand for BMWs over the last decade of 25% tariffs. I know there are a lot of Trump haters here, but he is ultimately trying to get that 25% down which would help BMW and the USA. It seemed to temporarily work back in May and I'm still optimistic that when this is all said and done we will overall be in a better place with reduced tariffs that will have a positive impact on Americans.
It's 15% + 25% for ex-US, so 40% total.

All the assembled X3, X4, X5, X6, X7 and X3L PKD's come from Spartanburg.
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      07-07-2018, 01:26 PM   #29
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Originally Posted by trey100 View Post
Prior to May of 2018, wasn't China already charging a 25% tariff on US made Car imports? Then due to pressure from the US, they reduced it to 15% temporarily until this article yesterday that it is going back to 25%. So it seems it's just back to what China was always charging and therefore should have no added impact? So no one seemed to worry about Chinese demand for BMWs over the last decade of 25% tariffs. I know there are a lot of Trump haters here, but he is ultimately trying to get that 25% down which would help BMW and the USA. It seemed to temporarily work back in May and I'm still optimistic that when this is all said and done we will overall be in a better place with reduced tariffs that will have a positive impact on Americans.
It's 15% + 25% for ex-US, so 40% total.

All the assembled X3, X4, X5, X6, X7 and X3L PKD's come from Spartanburg.
Tough to read that explicitly. BBC just says 25% and not that it is additive.

That being said, there was a 25% tariff for a decade and no one seemed to care about the impacts American workers. It was just accepted. I wish everyone was this vocal then.

And of course China does a bunch of other bad stuff so glad to see someone pushing back finally.
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      07-07-2018, 01:58 PM   #30
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Hopefully they close plants in the carolina's so they can start making Fords and Chevy again. MAGA NOW.
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      07-07-2018, 02:48 PM   #31
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Quote:
Originally Posted by trey100 View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by lemetier View Post
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Originally Posted by trey100 View Post
Prior to May of 2018, wasn't China already charging a 25% tariff on US made Car imports? Then due to pressure from the US, they reduced it to 15% temporarily until this article yesterday that it is going back to 25%. So it seems it's just back to what China was always charging and therefore should have no added impact? So no one seemed to worry about Chinese demand for BMWs over the last decade of 25% tariffs. I know there are a lot of Trump haters here, but he is ultimately trying to get that 25% down which would help BMW and the USA. It seemed to temporarily work back in May and I'm still optimistic that when this is all said and done we will overall be in a better place with reduced tariffs that will have a positive impact on Americans.
It's 15% + 25% for ex-US, so 40% total.

All the assembled X3, X4, X5, X6, X7 and X3L PKD's come from Spartanburg.
Tough to read that explicitly. BBC just says 25% and not that it is additive.

That being said, there was a 25% tariff for a decade and no one seemed to care about the impacts American workers. It was just accepted. I wish everyone was this vocal then.

And of course China does a bunch of other bad stuff so glad to see someone pushing back finally.
It's an additional Country of Consignment Import duty of 25%. Base rates and rules still apply.
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      07-07-2018, 04:47 PM   #32
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Hey, at least we can keep our coal jobs - that's the future!
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      07-07-2018, 07:09 PM   #33
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If the sales in China drops significantly then we should expect BMW to raise the prices globally to make up the difference. Welcome to trade wars were the consumer gets f@#$d
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      07-07-2018, 07:55 PM   #34
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Originally Posted by farishat View Post
Hopefully they close plants in the carolina's so they can start making Fords and Chevy again. MAGA NOW.
Can’t tell if your bieng sarcastic?
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      07-07-2018, 10:34 PM   #35
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Hopefully they close plants in the carolina's so they can start making Fords and Chevy again. MAGA NOW.
And who will be buying them? You do know 60% of GM cars and about 50% of Ford cars are sold in China?
I hope you were being sarcastic
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      07-08-2018, 07:17 AM   #36
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Until BMW decides to cut operations in Spartanburg, layoffs and open a factory in China.
Or... BMW decides to build another model line in Spartanburg that is sold in the US, say the 3-series?
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      07-08-2018, 08:02 AM   #37
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Or... BMW decides to build another model line in Spartanburg that is sold in the US, say the 3-series?
That would be great for the town honestly, it revolves around the plant. But let’s be honest- which of the two options listed usually happens with business? (The close down and outsource one).

As much as I dislike the approach the president has taken with respect to trade, I would never actively root for the failure of an entire town and it’s people just to be right. All the luck to Spartanburg!
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      07-08-2018, 08:04 AM   #38
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From USA Today article April 10, 2018...

"Automakers shipped at least 1,000 units of each of nearly 20 models from American plants in 2017, according to research firm LMC Automotive." BMW shipped 107,000 vehicles from Sparatanburg to China in 2017. 28% of plant production, yet the X-Series all in all have about 37% USA part content.

WOW is this a big problem!

IIRC the US has a 2% tariff on Chinese produced cars, while China has 25% on US cars. So where has everyone been crying about BMW lost profit and jobs with the 25% tariff (vs. 2%) ALREADY imposed on BMW USA-produced X-Series...

Just askin'
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      07-08-2018, 08:10 AM   #39
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Originally Posted by Efthreeoh View Post
From USA Today article April 10, 2018...

"Automakers shipped at least 1,000 units of each of nearly 20 models from American plants in 2017, according to research firm LMC Automotive." BMW shipped 107,000 vehicles from Sparatanburg to China in 2017. 28% of plant production, yet the X-Series all in all have about 37% USA part content.

WOW is this a big problem!

IIRC the US has a 2% tariff on Chinese produced cars, while China has 25% on US cars. So where has everyone been crying about BMW lost profit and jobs with the 25% tariff (vs. 2%) ALREADY imposed on BMW USA-produced X-Series...

Just askin'
Because it was taken into consideration when BMW tooled the plant. There wasn’t job loss in Spartanburg. They’ve been doing quite well and while i haven’t googled it I think i remember them expanding operations.
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      07-08-2018, 08:15 AM   #40
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Penguino View Post
Until BMW decides to cut operations in Spartanburg, layoffs and open a factory in China.
Or... BMW decides to build another model line in Spartanburg that is sold in the US, say the 3-series?
Doesn't make sense. Then they have to pay a 25% tax on all exports.
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      07-08-2018, 08:17 AM   #41
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Just to remind evreyone we are talking about a town here. Real
People with real jobs. This isn’t just numbers. Also it has all the employment data as well as supporting jobs: 30,000 people directly connected the the plant.
https://www.spartanburgcounty.org/654/BMW
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      07-08-2018, 08:18 AM   #42
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Questofthetune View Post
That would be great for the town honestly, it revolves around the plant. But let’s be honest- which of the two options listed usually happens with business? (The close down and outsource one).

As much as I dislike the approach the president has taken with respect to trade, I would never actively root for the failure of an entire town and it’s people just to be right. All the luck to Spartanburg!
In the past Spartanburg has produced the E36, the Z3 and the Z4 (I have two cars produced from the plant BTW). After the E85/86 Z4, the plant switched entirely to the X-Series BMWs. Again, I'd cry a bit harder if the US domestic content was a bit higher than 37%. The quality of the E36 and Z3 was shit coming from the plant in the 1990s.

The President's approach to trade is still a work in progress IMO. I'll decide the validity of the approach once the issue is negotiated and settled. The global-sourced automotive industry is, as it now is, may not fall under the traditional concepts of "trade war" from the past. I'm will to wait and see.

Also what I laughed about was Hardly-Davidson crying about the EU tariff threat. Not many people remember in the late 1970's how hard AMF-owned Harley-Davidson lobbied the Government to impose strong tariffs on Japanese-made motorcycles of 750CC or above. President Reagan imposed those tariffs on the Japanese industry and saved Harley's ass. The poorly-run AMF H-D would have gone bankrupt had the tariff not been imposed. That and the great economy of the 1980's.
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      07-08-2018, 08:20 AM   #43
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Questofthetune View Post
Just to remind evreyone we are talking about a town here. Real
People with real jobs. This isn’t just numbers.
https://www.spartanburgcounty.org/654/BMW
And the other 600,000 factories that have closed since the 1970's with lousy political management from US politicians?

Those were real towns and real people too.
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      07-08-2018, 08:21 AM   #44
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Originally Posted by Efthreeoh View Post
In the past Spartanburg has produced the E36, the Z3 and the Z4 (I have two cars produced from the plant BTW). After the E85/86 Z4, the plant switched entirely to the X-Series BMWs. Again, I'd cry a bit harder if the US domestic content was a bit higher than 37%. The quality of the E36 and Z3 was shit coming from the plant in the 1990s.

The President's approach to trade is still a work in progress IMO. I'll decide the validity of the approach once the issue is negotiated and settled. The global-sourced automotive industry is, as it now is, may not fall under the traditional concepts of "trade war" from the past. I'm will to wait and see.

Also what I laughed about was Hardly-Davidson crying about the EU tariff threat. Not many people remember in the late 1970's how hard AMF-owned Harley-Davidson lobbied the Government to impose strong tariffs on Japanese-made motorcycles of 750CC or above. President Reagan imposed those tariffs on the Japanese industry and saved Harley's ass. The poorly-run AMF H-D would have gone bankrupt had the tariff not been imposed. That and the great economy of the 1980's.
I can respect the watch and wait approach. Totally agree how the tables have turned on HD. Ironic they’re moving major production and hurting badly when they forced the same approach decades past.
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