Quote:
Originally Posted by Richbot
Let's say we have only captured about 1/10th of the real world failures since most owners don't post here. That's still less than a 1% failure rate in the North American market.
I'm sure the publicity the E46 problem got helped to drive up forum reporting. But then again the forum was still mostly nerds back then and wasn't as mainstream as it is now.
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Both fine points. I like to work in orders of magnitude, it's a science thing for sure. I'd guess that is also a reasonable number. We don't a 1/1 of all failures in NA reported here, and I doubt we only got 1/100 either thus 1/10 seems about right, thus 1% NA (and 1% globally) failure rate (0.8% is the actual). It's a low chance for each of us for sure but also a bit higher than I would expect from BMW, M or not, high revving or not.