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      02-01-2012, 05:30 PM   #683
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Cliff notes: It's either going to be a good or bad day.
I only state what I see
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      02-03-2012, 04:46 PM   #684
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I got myself an avatar. What do you guys think?
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      02-03-2012, 04:58 PM   #685
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I got myself an avatar. What do you guys think?
Is that Benny?
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      02-03-2012, 05:04 PM   #686
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Is that Benny?
Yeah
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      02-03-2012, 05:11 PM   #687
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Is that Benny?
Yeah
LOL
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      02-08-2012, 01:52 PM   #688
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Garage List
*crickets*
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      02-09-2012, 02:13 PM   #689
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*crickets*
Hey Johanness .

How is everyone doing with their portfolio?

I know 2 days ago it looked like TVIX bottomed at 13.90. In the two days thereafter it's hit as high as 15.90 today. 14.4%. Not bad.

And now we're seeing TVIX make gains when the indexes close up. Might be a tell for what the market really thinks. All I know is, someone the other day had made a purchase of 151,000 shares of TVIX. or roughly 2.2 million. The big boys are playing the shorts now.

A while back I told everyone on here "Not to be fooled" by the rally, that it was not real. I said it was a "pump and dump" routine at the start of the year. Well, look at this new article:

Big guys have started selling.

Quote:
Corporate insiders are now selling their companies’ stock at a rate not seen since late last July.

...among insiders at companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange, this ratio was even more lopsided at 8.2-to-1. [Sell-to-Buy]

In the last full week of that month, for example, the sell-to-buy ratio stood at 0.81-to-1 — a far cry from the 5.77-to-1 registered in the first week of February.

And, of course, the market is a lot higher now than where it stood then — more than 1,600 Dow points higher, in fact.

Given recent insider selling, it’s more likely that the next 1,600 point Dow move will be down than up.
Evidence is seen in the volume being picked up in TVIX and other shorts. Record volume for this year, and only keeps building. You have big boys buying into Ultra-shorts. You have the markets topping out with RSI past the moon. And these are the same insiders that are on TV telling the average investor "he's going to miss the train".


From here, I think it's safe to say that, since we're so far out from our moving averages on the indexes, we will be revisiting 1260 (just from the pullback alone, as historically that's what over-extensions in the market do. They pull back to their moving averages). SHOULD anything bad happen (so unlikely though, right?) I believe we will be revisiting much lower than 1260.

Chime in guys, thoughts?

Edited: TVIX has done 19.6% in the last 2 days. Not bad, considering the indexes had been UP on both days. Down we go soon! Weee
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      02-10-2012, 09:38 AM   #690
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TVIX up 11% on today's open. Incredible!
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      02-10-2012, 02:34 PM   #691
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TVIX up 11% on today's open. Incredible!
our predictions are now occuring . Charts don't lie. Whenever there is a good day there's good news in greece and whenever there's a bad day its "bad news in greece" aka the news is ful of sh*t . The market has been getting artificially pumped up by Mr. Bernanke's quantitative easing to create the wealth affect. As you can see this happened last year as well:



We also last year hit the 1350 resistance that we hit again yesterday, as you can see we had a pull back, meaning we tested the highs again and the market pulled back. According to this article, there will be some support for the market at 1327:

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-...093700463.html

More indicators the market is at its top:


Also, note how high RSI is in that graph

And last but not least lets take a look at TVIX
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Last edited by Hisam135i; 02-10-2012 at 02:40 PM.
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      02-10-2012, 03:35 PM   #692
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Are any of you guys making any money here?

TVIX just returned 51% in THREE days. RSI is still OVERSOLD relative to overbought! To the moon with this thing!
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      02-10-2012, 05:06 PM   #693
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Are any of you guys making any money here?

TVIX just returned 51% in THREE days. RSI is still OVERSOLD relative to overbought! To the moon with this thing!
I just picked up some TVIX aftermarket at 18.47 hopefully didnt pay to much
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      02-10-2012, 05:57 PM   #694
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Jk went up 20 cents right after I bought it
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      02-10-2012, 05:58 PM   #695
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I just picked up some TVIX aftermarket at 18.47 hopefully didnt pay to much
Ouch, aftermarket always burns me with their full-commission rates. But its worth it today since TVIX is seeing profiteering after sessions

It's 200dma is $38-40. SPX 200dma is near 1260, a near 100 point decline. I'm expecting a RSI reversal on both the two, and perhaps TVIX succeeding it's 200dma *fingers crossed*.

Disclaimer: Not meant to be investment advice. It's just a projection. Trade at your own risk. Vanity is not licensed to be your financial representative.
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      02-10-2012, 06:00 PM   #696
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Jk went up 20 cents right after I bought it
Let's make some $$
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      02-10-2012, 06:59 PM   #697
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Quote:
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Quote:
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Jk went up 20 cents right after I bought it
Let's make some $$
Tell the bear it's his time to go on stage
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      02-13-2012, 12:13 AM   #698
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http://finance.yahoo.com/news/greece...230950888.html

Thoughts? guessing the markets should be a bit higher tomorrow on these news
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      02-13-2012, 03:12 AM   #699
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http://finance.yahoo.com/news/greece...230950888.html

Thoughts? guessing the markets should be a bit higher tomorrow on these news
It will be interesting to see what happens now. We are out of January now and the data coming out will be more concise with the actual economy. Greece still has some more loose-ends to manage before it's a "done-deal".

Same type of thing happened back in 08' I believe. Resolution came for their problems, markets rallied, only to crash about 5 days later after "digesting" the news.

We shall see. Crystal Ball's don't exist . US indexes are still over-stretched, they're going to pull-back regardless of if there is a Greece deal or not. Greece news isn't really going to make us "break-out" and rally as we have already "broken-out" in January.
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      02-13-2012, 10:07 AM   #700
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hisam135i View Post
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/greece...230950888.html

Thoughts? guessing the markets should be a bit higher tomorrow on these news
It will be interesting to see what happens now. We are out of January now and the data coming out will be more concise with the actual economy. Greece still has some more loose-ends to manage before it's a "done-deal".

Same type of thing happened back in 08' I believe. Resolution came for their problems, markets rallied, only to crash about 5 days later after "digesting" the news.

We shall see. Crystal Ball's don't exist . US indexes are still over-stretched, they're going to pull-back regardless of if there is a Greece deal or not. Greece news isn't really going to make us "break-out" and rally as we have already "broken-out" in January.
Yes I agree there will be a pull back, but the question is when. The markets could remain overbought for a long time before the correction. Last year we rallied all the way into may/June and then hit lows. Do you think we are in the same situation as last year or will we correct sooner this year in your opinion
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      02-13-2012, 12:26 PM   #701
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In other news look at AAPL
Name:  aapl copy.jpg
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      02-13-2012, 03:22 PM   #702
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Yes I agree there will be a pull back, but the question is when. The markets could remain overbought for a long time before the correction. Last year we rallied all the way into may/June and then hit lows. Do you think we are in the same situation as last year or will we correct sooner this year in your opinion
I think sooner, rather than later, we will see a correction. Feb 17th and March 9th we have some IT cycles ending. Of the two, it's unclear which is going to put the IT top in. But the NYSE LT momentum is negative (as of last thursday), so a negative LT Momentum is cross-current with positive IT momentum. Says that the market isn't all in one direction anymore, imo.

Edit: Also, CDS markets are indicating a Greek Default. Whereas equity markets still think there will not be a CDS trigger. Boy, when the times get ugly.
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      02-13-2012, 03:44 PM   #703
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Just closed 3 AAPL Apr 12 425.00 Call options. 200% return in just under 1 month!!
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      02-13-2012, 03:46 PM   #704
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Just closed 3 AAPL Apr 12 425.00 Call options. 200% return in just under 1 month!!


That's awesome stuff!
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