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      04-01-2014, 07:23 PM   #2179
128Convertibleguy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gatorfast View Post
Sounds like you are very risk adverse and are content with mild returns in safer investment options. But you missed out on a raging bull market for the last 5 years going...
And before that I missed two crashes. The last of which wiped out 50% of the value in the market in less than a year.

The Dow gained about 42% in the last 15 years. A little over 2.5%/year computed simply, a little under 2.5% compounded. My inflation indexed bonds did better.

I'll concede I'm risk averse, but I have a reason. The retired guy had enough to buy the BMW 1-series. If I invested now maybe I could have a new M. Or I could be driving a beat up Toyota Corolla. I'll take the 128.

OTOH, I did well in the market before I got out. The previous 15 years were strong, relatively uninterrupted growth. If I was a young man today, I'd probably be there now.
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      04-01-2014, 07:47 PM   #2180
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 128Convertibleguy View Post
And before that I missed two crashes. The last of which wiped out 50% of the value in the market in less than a year.

The Dow gained about 42% in the last 15 years. A little over 2.5%/year computed simply, a little under 2.5% compounded. My inflation indexed bonds did better.

I'll concede I'm risk averse, but I have a reason. The retired guy had enough to buy the BMW 1-series. If I invested now maybe I could have a new M. Or I could be driving a beat up Toyota Corolla. I'll take the 128.

OTOH, I did well in the market before I got out. The previous 15 years were strong, relatively uninterrupted growth. If I was a young man today, I'd probably be there now.
It's understandable. My dad lived through 2 stock market crashes (2000 and 2008). He rode the bull till about mid 1700 for S&P500 and now he's sitting on a boatload of cash waiting for the market to crash again. He did enter the workforce at the heels of "black monday" (1987) so he started investing at a great time.

He's also kind of close to retirement age (57). The only good thing is that his liquid net worth is high enough such that a conservative 2% withdrawal would cover his annual expenses with a cushion of about 1.5x to 2x not including social security or pension so he can afford to be conservative.

I'll probably play it the same way. I'll play the market long sticking mostly to low or no load index funds but I might be a bit more risk averse when I hit my 50s.
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      04-03-2014, 01:11 PM   #2181
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So practically speaking for the typical investor what disadvantage (if any) is there with buying google's new class C shares?
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      04-03-2014, 03:02 PM   #2182
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I'm itching to get in and have been for a few years now. All these words you guys are saying have got me over here like
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      04-04-2014, 02:50 PM   #2183
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Interesting day today with SPX selling off so hard after making an ATH.
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      04-05-2014, 03:53 AM   #2184
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Quote:
Originally Posted by F1Venom View Post
Interesting day today with SPX selling off so hard after making an ATH.
I wonder if reaching all time highs serves as a psychological trigger that forces people to strongly (re)-evaluate whether or not stocks are overvalued. I know there are a number of "fear and greed" indices that try and put a number to this kind of mentality.
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      04-07-2014, 03:13 PM   #2185
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Any thoughts on ddd? Could be a good buy at 50% off its Jan highs.
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      04-08-2014, 10:55 AM   #2186
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NSPT is the future
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      04-08-2014, 04:43 PM   #2187
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I'm
In ddd as of yesterday am... Playing the bounce

3d sector broke down many weeks ago...wouldn't be looking here other than a bounce

Dont think it will see new all time highs anytime soon

We inch closer to the end but we still have some rallies to go before this tired bull run is over
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      04-08-2014, 09:47 PM   #2188
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
I'm
In ddd as of yesterday am... Playing the bounce

3d sector broke down many weeks ago...wouldn't be looking here other than a bounce

Dont think it will see new all time highs anytime soon

We inch closer to the end but we still have some rallies to go before this tired bull run is over

I'm own some @ 53.22 and may add a bit more tommorow. What's your target price?
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      04-08-2014, 10:44 PM   #2189
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Speaking of the 3D sector, VJET ended down over 13% today.
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      04-09-2014, 12:50 PM   #2190
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Quote:
Originally Posted by F1Venom View Post
Speaking of the 3D sector, VJET ended down over 13% today.
lol I'm short since $28
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      04-10-2014, 06:01 PM   #2191
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Originally Posted by SuperBmw View Post
I'm own some @ 53.22 and may add a bit more tommorow. What's your target price?

Ok down like hell today I went in pretty big too.
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      04-10-2014, 06:45 PM   #2192
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some correction happening here.
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      04-11-2014, 08:55 AM   #2193
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Quote:
Originally Posted by F1Venom View Post
Speaking of the 3D sector, VJET ended down over 13% today.
Quote:
Originally Posted by PSUSMU View Post
lol I'm short since $28
-16% pre-market
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      04-11-2014, 12:13 PM   #2194
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Anyone think DDD hit its bottom this morning at $47? I'm tempted to go long.
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      04-11-2014, 10:14 PM   #2195
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Quote:
Originally Posted by F1Venom View Post
Anyone think DDD hit its bottom this morning at $47? I'm tempted to go long.
It could be the bottom but why risk catching a falling knife when there are other stocks with less risk?
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      04-11-2014, 10:57 PM   #2196
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Anyone think that the market's going to gap down Monday and then we'll get a RYFOR to ATHs?
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      04-11-2014, 11:29 PM   #2197
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Quote:
Originally Posted by F1Venom View Post
Anyone think that the market's going to gap down Monday and then we'll get a RYFOR to ATHs?
IDK, IMPAHO TBID...WWBS ATHs AM
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      04-12-2014, 02:57 PM   #2198
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We will see short term bounce followed by more selling...told you guys 3d sector broke down a month ago at least...flyers always break down first.

3d longs are just for a bounce at this point.

If 45 doesn't hold on DDD, things going to get real ugly.

Amavf also breaking down hard.

Bio sector broke down few weeks ago too, another high flyer sector....RUT and Nasdaq broke down this week too....spx and Dow to follow...looking for IT sell off at this point.

After we see a decent sell off, we will attempt to make new weak highs yet again later this year, but risky to go all in long cause those gains that can take 3-4 months to achieve can be taken away in a week when true sell off happens for long term...we keep inching closer to this point.
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      04-12-2014, 03:02 PM   #2199
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Btw, stopped out of DDD long few days ago...bought VJET smallish long position for bounce yesterday...have always had good luck with VJET trades.......haven't been truly long general mkts for weeks already.
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      04-14-2014, 01:24 PM   #2200
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Bounce here as noted above.
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