Stock market tips and experiences

[F1Venom]

Cool thread! GLD and SLV got slammed though. Maybe they'll recover soon. 15% fall in a week is horrific.

[mact3333]

1. plot us dollar vs gold and silver...your answer lies there as always...dollar will make one final push up soon...but momentum and public sentiment really bad on metals, so you know youre close to a tradeable bottom...I am hearing stories of gold at 800.00 and crap like that...always a good sign bottom is close but not quite there yet imho.

2. AAPL broken for now...stopped out on AAPL...will get back in after earnings...forming bullish falling wedge and massive divergence on it on price vs momentum indicators.

3. BBRY and FB hanging in there.

4. Mkts look toppy as I noted few wks ago...prob trying to form IT top...RUT broke down...SPX and Dow to lesser degree but they usually catch up.

[r0wr]

Originally Posted by mact3333

1. plot us dollar vs gold and silver...your answer lies there as always...dollar will make one final push up soon...but momentum and public sentiment really bad on metals, so you know youre close to a tradeable bottom...I am hearing stories of gold at 800.00 and crap like that...always a good sign bottom is close but not quite there yet imho.

2. AAPL broken for now...stopped out on AAPL...will get back in after earnings...forming bullish falling wedge and massive divergence on it on price vs momentum indicators.

3. BBRY and FB hanging in there.

4. Mkts look toppy as I noted few wks ago...prob trying to form IT top...RUT broke down...SPX and Dow to lesser degree but they usually catch up.

My new PT for Apple is $320. Once it falls short of earnings this week, it might be a good buy. Waiting for all those who are trapped long to finally call it quits. They will once AAPL shows little to no growth. I made a killing on the 425 put the past couple days.

[amanda hor$t]

^ the only new product apple might introduce is the iwatch, which sounds like a dud to me. you already have a phone in your pocket do you really need to wear one as well?

[mact3333]

Originally Posted by r0wr

My new PT for Apple is $320. Once it falls short of earnings this week, it might be a good buy. Waiting for all those who are trapped long to finally call it quits. They will once AAPL shows little to no growth. I made a killing on the 425 put the past couple days.

Good work!...I agree with you on AAPL...I want AAPL to tank 50.00 after earnings(true capitulation) and this will be good time to buy...technically AAPL wants to head to 340-350 range...I would like to buy there.

[mact3333]

Originally Posted by R Grubba Balls

^ the only new product apple might introduce is the iwatch, which sounds like a dud to me. you already have a phone in your pocket do you really need to wear one as well?

I dont think AppleTV or iWatch will do that great either...but I do think iphone 5S will do well...as soon as new model out, I will be getting one as there are many of us where that have contracts expiring right about now and are waiting for new model to buy.

[F1Venom]

What are the expectations for AAPL's earning report? It's been missing them for an year straight (last April was the only one where it went up $50 after hours) so I assume they should be lowered. All this bearishness on AAPL is probably bullish, lol. Watch them beat and skyrocket to the high $400s again, maybe even the $500s.

[amanda hor$t]

ok so apple closed in the 300 range today. it will probably go even lower, but close enough.

i got this tip back in feb, from a chinese triad. i never invested, but even if i did, it was not insider info (he doesn't work for or around apple)

[mact3333]

for AAPL its all about guidance, not there current earnings...if you are in AAPL for long haul it shouldnt matter whether you get in now or after earnings.

During bull mkts better to buy the good ones and hold.

During bear mots you have to trade...personally I think the big and fast money will come next year when the mkts crash.

One thing does worry me, alot of people saying the bull will keep going and I dont like to be on the same side as the masses.

But on AAPL and gold/silver, alot of negative press now, that is a bullish sign to me.

[bosstones]

Originally Posted by mact3333

But on AAPL and gold/silver, alot of negative press now, that is a bullish sign to me.

Silver and gold are still way high over their norm for the last 30+ years, though.

[mact3333]

I dont trust fridays rally at all...there will be selling soon...momentum indicators say we should sell off...I am talking ST and IT and not LT here.

Price still high but small caps tipping its hat...many momentum indicators showing cautious signs...time to hedge longs or to take shorts if you are aggressive type.

Many answers should be obvious by end of week.

We shall see.

[Razzy]

I went down 10% of my portfolio in the past week. Jeeze...

[F1Venom]

Dang, NFLX is going to take off again. Up 25% in AHT to $216.

[PSUSMU]

NFLX is so dumb.. dat 593 PE.. cmon.

[Vanity]

Who bought that mega-dip just now?

+10% in 1 minute.

[nittany]

LOL, good thing I kept appl and didn't sell before the call..

[Inspired]

Originally Posted by nittany

LOL, good thing I kept appl and didn't sell before the call..

Are you still holding AAPL? It's red AH now..

[nittany]

Originally Posted by Inspired

Are you still holding AAPL? It's red AH now..

wow...when i posted it was around 425, talk about crazy turnaround. yep, still have aapl, plan to keep for awhile, i was more concerned the stock would drop to 300 after earnings, satisfied it's still at 400. maybe it's safe to say 400 is the bottom now?! i guess we'll see....but i think new upcoming products will only push this stock back up. dividend hike and $60 billion buyback is a good thing too.

[Inspired]

Originally Posted by nittany

wow...when i posted it was around 425, talk about crazy turnaround. yep, still have aapl, plan to keep for awhile, i was more concerned the stock would drop to 300 after earnings, satisfied it's still at 400. maybe it's safe to say 400 is the bottom now?! i guess we'll see....but i think new upcoming products will only push this stock back up. dividend hike and $60 billion buyback is a good thing too.

I think the long term holders got worried when they said there is no new product until Fall 2013. But they are ramping up the divi. Pretty nice.

[r0wr]

Originally Posted by mact3333

But on AAPL and gold/silver, alot of negative press now, that is a bullish sign to me.

I think the amount of people who are short AAPL speaks volumes. With so much negative press and very little short interest, I'd argue that there's still a ways down. Just my opinion.

Originally Posted by nittany

wow...when i posted it was around 425, talk about crazy turnaround. yep, still have aapl, plan to keep for awhile, i was more concerned the stock would drop to 300 after earnings, satisfied it's still at 400. maybe it's safe to say 400 is the bottom now?! i guess we'll see....but i think new upcoming products will only push this stock back up. dividend hike and $60 billion buyback is a good thing too.

I'm short and will be adding more tomorrow. I see AAPL hitting $300 before $500.

I'm curious why so many people still like AAPL. What's your argument to go long? Low P/E? Waiting for the iTV or iWatch?

[nittany]

Originally Posted by r0wr

I think the amount of people who are short AAPL speaks volumes. With so much negative press and very little short interest, I'd argue that there's still a ways down. Just my opinion.



I'm short and will be adding more tomorrow. I see AAPL hitting $300 before $500.

I'm curious why so many people still like AAPL. What's your argument to go long? Low P/E? Waiting for the iTV or iWatch?

I believe when aapl bring out their new products in the 2nd half of the year, interest will come back and will drive the stock price back up. Also, a company that has $145 billion in cash balance is a good problem to have and I'm glad their using some of it to their shareholders.

Sure, Samsung has taken some of their sales from the iphone but I do think majority of people will continue to buy future iphones. People have invested so much in the appl ecosystem, I'm thinking people will just continue to get iphones. Even if aapl don't get new customers to buy iphones, if the existing customers continue to buy the iphone and with gross margin at 37%, that's still good for me. I hope they come out with a cheaper iphone and tap in China/India as well.

I hope the stock doesn't get to 300 but if it does, I'll just continue to add more to lower my avg price. I'm not going to panic and sell, I'll just take the dividends and be patient with the stock price..

[mact3333]

I told you guys AAPL downside momentum was waning despite the falling prices many wks ago...I was adding at 400.00 level...when sentiment is so down and everyone hates the stock, you have to buy at that time when your brain is saying NO!

Still in BBRY at 11.80...FB(the dog)...got into AGQ few wks ago as sentiment on metals was piss poor at the time too.

I added DDD, as I like the 3D printing sector as this is the future but this one is risky as it has run up alot over past 6 months.