Stock market tips and experiences

[mact3333]

Hope you guys do yourselves a favor and go to defcon 3-4 now....we will be making all time highs soon...mom and pop are are getting testy and feeling foolish they let this 4 yr bull get away from them and cant take it no more...money mkt mutual funds are being emptied out as we speak and being piled into the equity mkts...once we take out 1575 on SPX you will see a explosive rise to 1650-1700...then the bottom falls out...mark my words.

Please save this post...I have popcorn in hand already.

Once mom and pop enter, the top is always near...will be pulling the kids 529 money out of mkts and into money mkt within next few wks...dont need to try to catch that last 5-10% of the rally...one thing for sure, it comes down 10 times as fast as it goes up and most will be too dumbfounded to react quickly enough when it happens.

A year from now, the sentiment will have definitely have changed.

Anyone that has followed my posts in the past with respect to the big picture anyway knows whether I have been accurate or not....I called for all time highs a long time ago when many werent that super bullish...the opposite will hold true this time.

Watch the news within the next few wks to a month...you will see euphoria on epic scale on CNBC and the talking heads will be crying out "this mkt cant be stopped"...wherever you feel euphoric from big gains and the last thing you want to do is sell, well that is usually a good time to sell.

Not sure what the news will be to start the selling later this yr...I say later this yr and not a month from now cause when we enter a bear, volatility will start to rise sharply on up and down days...day ranges will expand from 1530 pt's a day to 30-40...watch for it.

Bottoms tend to be a point, tops are choppy zig zags until it finally gives way.

And dont ask me where the ultimate bottom will be ...you guys can figure that out but know it wont be pretty.

[Vanity]

Originally Posted by mact3333

Hope you guys do yourselves a favor and go to defcon 3-4 now....we will be making all time highs soon...mom and pop are are getting testy and feeling foolish they let this 4 yr bull get away from them and cant take it no more...money mkt mutual funds are being emptied out as we speak and being piled into the equity mkts...once we take out 1575 on SPX you will see a explosive rise to 1650-1700...then the bottom falls out...mark my words.

Please save this post...I have popcorn in hand already.

Once mom and pop enter, the top is always near...will be pulling the kids 529 money out of mkts and into money mkt within next few wks...dont need to try to catch that last 5-10% of the rally...one thing for sure, it comes down 10 times as fast as it goes up and most will be too dumbfounded to react quickly enough when it happens.

A year from now, the sentiment will have definitely have changed.

Anyone that has followed my posts in the past with respect to the big picture anyway knows whether I have been accurate or not....I called for all time highs a long time ago when many werent that super bullish...the opposite will hold true this time.

Watch the news within the next few wks to a month...you will see euphoria on epic scale on CNBC and the talking heads will be crying out "this mkt cant be stopped"...wherever you feel euphoric from big gains and the last thing you want to do is sell, well that is usually a good time to sell.

Not sure what the news will be to start the selling later this yr...I say later this yr and not a month from now cause when we enter a bear, volatility will start to rise sharply on up and down days...day ranges will expand from 1530 pt's a day to 30-40...watch for it.

Bottoms tend to be a point, tops are choppy zig zags until it finally gives way.

And dont ask me where the ultimate bottom will be ...you guys can figure that out but know it wont be pretty.

I'm curious to know what you have to reinforce this view. Not that I disagree, Mact, but these types of posts need more filler details otherwise they'll come off in a "fear-mongering" way to others.

My view is we see a whipsaw most of March, perhaps a sizeable (10%) decline from there (April?), followed by a run to all-time highs (could be your 1650, who knows) for the rest of the year.

[schoy]

Originally Posted by Vanity

I'm curious to know what you have to reinforce this view. Not that I disagree, Mact, but these types of posts need more filler details otherwise they'll come off in a "fear-mongering" way to others.

My view is we see a whipsaw most of March, perhaps a sizeable (10%) decline from there (April?), followed by a run to all-time highs (could be your 1650, who knows) for the rest of the year.

I think this is the most interesting post so far. Two experts (well, experts compared to me) have two sufficiently distinct forecasts for the remainder of the year. I'd be interested to know is greater detail how you both come to your conclusions.

[Hisam135i]

Got the upward daily stochastic crossover yesterday and got in at 1.3000

[Inspired]

Looks like the bull run is still going. Financials are going strong especially with the stress report today.

[PSUSMU]

Good day for BBRY and ZNGA. Glad I picked up more BBRY on Friday at 13.05.

[PSUSMU]

GO BBRY GO

[Hisam135i]

EUR/USD is stuck in a nice and wide trading range from low 1.29 to 1.3075, been making a killing trading off 1 and 4 hour bars via stochastic and averages!

[slamako]

@Hisam135i...you're going to have a field day (week) thanks to Cyprus!
This week should be fun!

[Hisam135i]

Originally Posted by slamako

@Hisam135i...you're going to have a field day (week) thanks to Cyprus!
This week should be fun!

Already am eur/usd closed on Friday at 1.3075 (1 day after my post above) and is now at 1.2888 now looking for a rally to occur over night from these levels probably back to 1.3000ish IF we get a stochastic cross on 4hr at either 12am pst or 4am pst. I've been mostly trading off 4hr bars and its way less stressful and more accurate.

[Hisam135i]

We ended up rallying to 1.2975


Edit:

And now up to 1.2994 which I like to call 1.3000ish

Hope some others got in on this!

[Inspired]

Who's long AAPL now? trend reversal confirmed

[Hisam135i]

Originally Posted by Inspired

Who's long AAPL now? trend reversal confirmed

I would give some advice but I'm strictly trading forex now, do mind giving an analysis for it and explaining the trend reversal?

[Inspired]

There was a gap fill to about $419-420. It held $419 and reversed from $419. Consolidated for a bit and break out with volume over the 50MA. We can't say for sure that it will hold these level longer term but this is a nice swing trade judging by the charts

[Hisam135i]

Originally Posted by Inspired

There was a gap fill to about $419-420. It held $419 and reversed from $419. Consolidated for a bit and break out with volume over the 50MA. We can't say for sure that it will hold these level longer term but this is a nice swing trade judging by the charts

Is it me or is apple behaving weirdly. It seems big guys are using apple as a hedge, every time market falls apples up and every time market is up apple is down? Seem odd to anyone?

[M5Rlz]

Originally Posted by Hisam135i

Is it me or is apple behaving weirdly. It seems big guys are using apple as a hedge, every time market falls apples up and every time market is up apple is down? Seem odd to anyone?

Yes. They're having me sit on mine.

[Inspired]

SPX, DJI bouncing on light volume. Market is feeling toppy to me..We might see a correction very soon..

I'm starting to scaling in on GLD and SLV. Looks like it is ready to bounce...

[mact3333]

Still in BBRY at 10.75...FB 24...AAPL 445...AGQ 38

Who is with me?...anyone?...

There is still alot of time left to make money on long side before the big big collapse.

[nittany]

Originally Posted by mact3333

Still in BBRY at 10.75...FB 24...AAPL 445...AGQ 38

Who is with me?...anyone?...

There is still alot of time left to make money on long side before the big big collapse.

I'm with you on AAPL...hope they announce a huge dividend spike.

[Inspired]

Originally Posted by mact3333

Still in BBRY at 10.75...FB 24...AAPL 445...AGQ 38

Who is with me?...anyone?...

There is still alot of time left to make money on long side before the big big collapse.

BBRY sold today at 16.60. FB bought in at $27.90 sold for a loss at $27 last week. Waiting for a bigger pull back on FB before I go long

AAPL in at $452

[PSUSMU]

Humiliating day for BBRY, but still long and strong.

[Hisam135i]

This week has Been an amazing week in fx trading off of a 4 hour stoch def works for me