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      10-01-2014, 10:15 AM   #2619
Patrick719
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My thoughts are GPRO will fall sharply soon when the lock period expires. Shares are just up too much not to take some profits. However I looked into puts the other day and they were pricey!
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      10-01-2014, 10:38 AM   #2620
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Quote:
Originally Posted by F1Venom View Post
Any thoughts on GPRO? I'm thinking of buying some puts on it soon. And I'm still waiting for SLV to flush to the low $15s before going long very hard.
I've sold almost all of my shares over the last two days. I don't think it's worth the risk at this point. I only held on until the Hero 4 was released.
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      10-02-2014, 11:33 AM   #2621
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SPX 1905 here we come.
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      10-02-2014, 11:41 AM   #2622
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SPY testing it's trend line. We will see if it will hold

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      10-02-2014, 12:00 PM   #2623
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333
SPX 1905 here we come.
I think October will be a very bearish month (as it is historically). Maybe low 1800s are in store if 1900 doesn't hold.
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      10-02-2014, 12:02 PM   #2624
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Mact, what are your thoughts on SLV? I think that it's going to flush to the low $15s/high $14s on huge volume to signify a sell-climax and then it'll enter a bull market. The dollar has gone parabolic and that should end as well
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      10-02-2014, 04:08 PM   #2625
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Historically, I would agree on OCT usually bearish until 2009.
Starting 2010, retail and etail would be a key to how OCT would perform.
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      10-05-2014, 06:29 PM   #2626
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Long Term Investments

Gents,
I understand this is primarily a trading forum; however I was interested in your insights in long term (401K) investments. With the current market seemingly topping with a possible reduction on the horizon would it be smart to move funds into something stable? If there is a significant downturn then move back in? Or just leave it an don't touch it for 20 years?
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      10-05-2014, 07:45 PM   #2627
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Quote:
Originally Posted by yamahuh View Post
Gents,
I understand this is primarily a trading forum; however I was interested in your insights in long term (401K) investments. With the current market seemingly topping with a possible reduction on the horizon would it be smart to move funds into something stable? If there is a significant downturn then move back in? Or just leave it an don't touch it for 20 years?
You mean asset allocation of your 401(K)?
If you think the bull market is nearing the end, it might be smarter to get into defensive/dividend paying/precious metal heavy funds.

If you think bull market will continue till 1-2Q of 2015, maybe hold for little longer.

Regardless of bull/bear, you can (and should) always allocate (or review) your fund. Only provision is, if you bought your own company stock within 401(K), they might have some kind of provision.
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      10-07-2014, 04:08 PM   #2628
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
SPX 1905 here we come.

Did somebody say 1905 here we come?...at a minimum...RUT broke early and told me the story.
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      10-07-2014, 06:13 PM   #2629
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Quote:
Originally Posted by yamahuh View Post
Gents,
I understand this is primarily a trading forum; however I was interested in your insights in long term (401K) investments. With the current market seemingly topping with a possible reduction on the horizon would it be smart to move funds into something stable? If there is a significant downturn then move back in? Or just leave it an don't touch it for 20 years?
leave it in and don't touch for 20 years. That will certainly perform better than going with your gut.
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      10-07-2014, 07:49 PM   #2630
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I should have sold AMD too when it was like 4.28.
Held , and down -15% ish. Still stick to the plan.
Bought 3.50 oct call.
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      10-07-2014, 10:33 PM   #2631
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
Did somebody say 1905 here we come?...at a minimum...RUT broke early and told me the story.
Hey! You're good, but I throw the flag on you tooting your own horn this time, as your ST bottom negates this 1900 call
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      10-08-2014, 12:31 AM   #2632
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Earnings/reports will be coming in soon. All starting with Alcoa. Earnings for big names are looking decent. How much of an affect it will have on the freefall of September I do not know
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      10-08-2014, 01:41 AM   #2633
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Tomorrow is the "blood moon" so expect another "bloody market."
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      10-08-2014, 05:54 AM   #2634
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Futures are down. Implied open down?
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      10-08-2014, 11:26 AM   #2635
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BimmerPod View Post
Hey! You're good, but I throw the flag on you tooting your own horn this time, as your ST bottom negates this 1900 call
the TRIN call always makes a bottom, even if very short lived(but yeah I was expecting abit more of a bottom)...I did say very "short term bottom didn't I?"...

First the hot sector 3D stocks cratered(DDD, VJET, etc)...then the sand plays(HCLP, EMES, SLCA)...once GPRO and MBLY sell off bait it might be over.
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      10-08-2014, 05:00 PM   #2636
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AMD just filed 8-K
Glad that Dr. Lisa Su became a new CEO of AMD, but bad timing.
Week before earning....

http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderd...rrons&ru=yahoo
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      10-09-2014, 12:53 AM   #2637
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mact3333 View Post
the TRIN call always makes a bottom, even if very short lived(but yeah I was expecting abit more of a bottom)...I did say very "short term bottom didn't I?"...

First the hot sector 3D stocks cratered(DDD, VJET, etc)...then the sand plays(HCLP, EMES, SLCA)...once GPRO and MBLY sell off bait it might be over.
Fair enough. That said, does this morning's TRIN spike to over 2+ provide another ST bottom? My gut says we make another weak attempt towards the old highs before a violent selloff
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      10-09-2014, 12:31 PM   #2638
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BimmerPod View Post
Fair enough. That said, does this morning's TRIN spike to over 2+ provide another ST bottom? My gut says we make another weak attempt towards the old highs before a violent selloff
Wrong o
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      10-09-2014, 01:57 PM   #2639
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TRIN no where near 2 today...Fed move yesterday can't fake me out...1905 we are a coming...

TRIN trick works during minor selloff during bull mkt...I think we are in IT top now not ST.(note I didn't say LT).

Want to see MBLY and GPRO sell off hard before I get neutral.
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      10-09-2014, 07:43 PM   #2640
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Thinking of buying some gpro and spy puts at the open tomorrow and riding them into next week.
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