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11-04-2014, 10:52 PM | #45 | |
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The failures seem to be random, and I am willing to bet can be attributed more to build quality and fitment issues at the factory than anything else. Which, of course, could mean some people will tear out perfectly fine bearings. Surprised OP decided to go for OEM bearings. |
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11-04-2014, 11:03 PM | #46 |
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The lead free bearings seem to be less tolerant (no pun intended) of a bad stack. A few low mileage 2011+ cars have had spun bearings where it seems to be incredibly rare to see a low mileage failure with the leaded bearings.
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11-05-2014, 05:36 AM | #47 | |
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I have yet to see a set of perfect bearings come out of a car posted here. Maybe there are some others that are perfect that have not been posted. Mine were among the better ones, but still showed more than expected wear in 4 upper shells and a tiny bit of copper at the shell edges on a couple. It was not something I wanted to worry about, even though the percentage of engine failures is very, very small. Plus, it was a good DIY project. |
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11-05-2014, 06:13 AM | #48 | |
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I agree on the likely issues -- tolerance stackup likely plays high on the pecking order.
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11-05-2014, 09:50 AM | #49 | |
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There are the VAC coated bearings, which should at least theoretically be better. Since you do this as a DIY, you can just swap every ~50K miles, so you're good to go.
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11-05-2014, 10:16 AM | #50 |
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From an engineering perspective, as opposed to a non-scientific sample in an internet forum, there is zero basis for that conclusion.
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11-05-2014, 10:36 AM | #51 |
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11-05-2014, 10:43 AM | #52 |
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Sounds like a nice little business! Not saying that's the intention here, but of those 117, how many of them "needed" to be replaced due to failure? My guess is very few. Although, some may have been on their way out, no doubt about it. I'm interested to know how bad is bad. We see all these worn spots which don't look good, but how long can an engine operate normally with the wear the OP demonstrated? I would think if the wear continued in a similar fashion, he could have had 100k+ miles with no issues.
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11-05-2014, 11:31 AM | #53 |
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Well, perhaps to those with no engineering background nor desire for actual truths I suppose.
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11-05-2014, 11:56 AM | #54 |
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11-05-2014, 12:07 PM | #55 | |
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This is only the beginning of professionally looking at the raw data...
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11-05-2014, 12:19 PM | #56 | |
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That is just as stupid as trying to extrapolate how rod bearings and climates correlate when most of the cars/members here are in California (IMHO of course)...
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11-05-2014, 02:03 PM | #57 |
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You'd think at this point some conclusions could be made based on climate, model year, drive styles, warmup times, frequency to redline, DCT vs. manual, supercharged vs. N/A, etc. but it all still feels like a bunch of speculation. You've got very careful guys with issues, and guys who have used and abused the car with no issues. It would be great if we could compile all the data we have thus far and start drawing some conclusions. Minimally, we should be able to find out about supercharged, model year, location and transmission without a lot of follow up. I guess the rest probably depends on (unreliable) owner information and a small sample size. I mean, even if you beat the crap out of the car, would you admit it on a forum pending a new possible engine from BMW? I think not.
Last edited by Rupes; 11-05-2014 at 02:08 PM.. |
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11-05-2014, 02:34 PM | #58 | |
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Graph showing fail rate relative to production numbers and mileage at fail. Excludes Supercharged cars. Notes Av Miles is the average mileage at failure for cars by year. As expected the average falls by year. Prod#/Fails is the total M3 production number for that year(s) divided by number of failures. The slope of this graph line should follow that of the Av Miles but instead rises at the approximate time that the bearing revision is made indicating that the revision has had a negative effect (There was a main bearing revision in 2008 and a rod bearing revision in late 2010 early 2011. ). This as of Aug 2014 Last edited by SenorFunkyPants; 11-05-2014 at 02:44 PM.. |
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11-05-2014, 02:48 PM | #59 |
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Excellent job for normalizing to production imported volume. One missing ingredient in the conclusions drawn above is that you have good data on early life failures of the 2008 models. I haven't seen any evidence of that since this whole ballgame got started way after start of production of 2008s, years after. BMWNA is probably the only source for this data as they know exactly how many S65s they've replaced under warranty, the mileage at time of failure, the climate the car resided within, etc, etc. I wouldn't trust inferences on the data you have shown about newer model years compared to past ones without the actual complete data.
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11-05-2014, 03:46 PM | #60 |
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Its not a great deal of data but what there is goes against several common held positions. It is tempting to believe that the elevated bearing wear we see could be ameliorated with more clearance or a thinner oil but what data there is, infers not.
Myself I think BMW optimised the legacy engine design they were stuck with as best they could and what we have is basically as good as it gets. The only single hypothesis that fits the data there is, is that cars in warmer climes fail more often (as a function of number of cars sold)...how resilient that inference may be is another matter. |
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