FORUMS
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| 09-18-2012, 03:18 PM | #23 | |
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Second Lieutenant
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Obviously children cant vote, but their single moms can, and last I checked, their 1 vote counts just as much as Harold the laid-off engineer, even if Harold was making more per year than she did in 5 years. Thus, the single mom will influence the results of popularity polls today, and even more importantly, when in the actual voting booth in November. For every wealthy person (or middle class who ASPIRES to be wealthy) who might prefer Romney in a poll, there will be more new food stamp recipients than him who wont, and that ratio will get bigger and bigger with each passing quarter of financial misery. I still stand by my original assertion; the failure of Obamanomics to put folks back to work will ironically increase his chances to win as those folks dont want to cut off the only hand that remains feeding them. |
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| 09-18-2012, 03:30 PM | #24 | |
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Second Lieutenant
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Certainly kids graduating high school today will almost certainly not have that option unless something changes. As I've said before, the demographics are conspiring against us. That's not a left vs right thing, that's a basic math thing. Back in the mid-60's there were 3 or 4 working people contributing to the pool of money that each retired taxpayer drew from, in terms of medicare and SS. Then, a retired person only consumed from that pool for an average of 10 years or less. Today, that ratio has dropped in half in terms of contributors vs retired, but the average length of time a person consumes a benefit has increased by almost 10 years. These numbers are continuing in that direction. That will not sustain itself long term. You can have 4 people supporting 1 guy for 10 years, you cannot have 2 (or less) people supporting one guy for 20 years, unless the level of support he gets is diminished, or you tax the living daylights out of those 2 working stiffs. That is why the democratic party attitude scares the shit out of me, not because I am cruel and want grampa to suffer, but because I cant see a way the numbers can work out in the end without scaling back stuff like that drastically. If you can offer any mathematically sound explanation for how this is not a big problem, I would love to entertain that, it would certainly help me sleep at night. |
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| 09-18-2012, 03:39 PM | #25 | |||
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Hilarity.....You just cried for several paragraphs about gov't entitlements and those who are dependent on them. YET...YET you blame the gubment for not finding the unemployed a livable wage? LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL |
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| 09-18-2012, 03:42 PM | #26 | |
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Private First Class
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How is he not walking away by 20 points? Just like the shock and awe of the 2010 elections the was a conservative landslide against everything Obama.. I'm not frustrated at all since the fundamentals of that election haven't changed except for now we have a standard bearer.
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| 09-18-2012, 03:53 PM | #27 | ||||
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Lieutenant
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Also, what about the restructuring of 401K and retirement packages where people are putting in years and their place of employment are giving them a see ya later cake and a pat on the back? You wonder why so many depend on SS? Quote:
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| 09-18-2012, 03:59 PM | #28 | |
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Second Lieutenant
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I'd also invite you to demonstrate where I made the argument that being poor is a state desired my many, that people would aspire to. Having had my own father pass away just before my 3rd birthday, I have years of experience with that first hand. Rather than feeling sorry for myself and letting the gov subsidize me, I went out, busted my ass, skipped a lot of social events in high school to study so I could earn scholarships as that was my only option to get the kind of education that leads to decent job. I dont think it's up to the government to find people a job, that's something best done by the private sector. Its up to the gov to create an environment where private sector employers can thrive so they can build their business and create new jobs. You create a hostile climate, guess what, the job creators will take full advantage of globalization. If you need to twist things around so much to try and make your point, I have to wonder just how sound that point is to begin with. |
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| 09-18-2012, 04:19 PM | #29 | |
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Lieutenant Colonel
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Location: USA / Silver Spring, Maryland
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Actually the fundamentals have changed, but you haven't realized it yet. Obama is opening up a significant lead nationally in the polls and particularly in the all important swing states. Like many Republicans in the bubble you seem to forget that more than half the country actually likes the President Then there's the fact that Republicans don't really believe in their candidate. They don't like him, they don't trust him and he doesn't inspire them. Deep down they wish they had someone else running. Republicans will be voting against the other guy, not for their candidate. Watch how fast other Republicans throw this guy under the bus at the first sign of touble in the campaign. It's not over but it's not looking good for Romney at the moment.
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| 09-18-2012, 04:22 PM | #30 | ||||
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Second Lieutenant
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I know why people depend on SS more than ever, that doesn't change the basic math problem. If they can't feed themselves, and Uncle Sam has to, then the funding has to increase somewhere. Quote:
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What I'm saying is, warn folks now the tap will gradually be turned off so they have time to start building a separate fund instead of expecting Uncle Sam to be there. Isnt that better than saying nothing, then when the time comes, you tell them "sorry, you should have had a backup plan ? I have one" |
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| 09-18-2012, 04:26 PM | #31 | |
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Lieutenant Colonel
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So if your mom or dad is on social security or disability or if you have a relative who has a disability or debilitating medical condition or devastating illness for which they receive assistance, or if you know some good people who work full time but don't make enough to be able to afford child care or perhaps they might need help with paying for their kids education, or if you know someone who is the spouse of a fallen veteran then hate to tell you but Mitt Romney thinks they are all welfare queens who are victims and feel entitled and he says F*CK em. Yet he's ready to give a big fat wet kiss in the form of huge tax cuts and favors to all his super rich doners... as well as himself. I still want to see his tax returns...
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| 09-18-2012, 05:10 PM | #32 |
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Lieutenant Colonel
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The thing you fail to realize is that half (or more) of these people using these programs are Republican voters.
Its not like I care. I don't criticize people for using SS or food stamps or unemployment benefits when they fall into hard times. The biggest fallacy the hateful Republicans (not all Republicans, just the hateful ones) ever pushed was that people using these programs don't want to work. But we know thats not true. When there are an abundance of jobs, the amount of people on these programs go down considerably. |
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| 09-18-2012, 05:17 PM | #33 | |
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Lieutenant Colonel
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This election is not close and was never really that close. Obama has had a large electoral lead for several months over Romney. The electoral count is gonna be a landslide victory for Obama. As to why he isn't winning by 20 points: Politics is too partisan for a candidate to lose by that amount. Last edited by secretsquirrel; 09-18-2012 at 05:23 PM. |
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| 09-18-2012, 06:06 PM | #34 | |
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Private First Class
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Romney is on offense on more states Obama won in 2008 (which is the same model Obama used to defeat McCain) so the electoral map is a wash since the toss ups will determine the election, not the coastal states. And the environment is not conducive to the President, at all. I don't see unemployment improving in 6 weeks. I can see another embassy ransacked potentially. I can see Israel attacking Iran potentially. I can see America getting demeaned repeatedly at the UN assembly next week. I can see the Osama kill movie further enraging Muslims. Sprinkle all that together and the outcome of the debates will settle the issue for the electorate imo - and in that, there is just no way to squirm out of the record of that past four years when being engaged mano-a-mano (not that the moderators wont try).
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| 09-18-2012, 07:15 PM | #35 | |
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Lieutenant Colonel
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Keep in mind that I'm writing this from my phone and Im trying to feed dinner to my two little ones so I dont have time to run numbers at web sites, but I think you'll find them pretty accurate. Romneys road to 270 is very hard since he is behind in most of the swing states and Obama is already so close to 270. |
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| 09-18-2012, 07:30 PM | #36 | |
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Second Lieutenant
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I assume nobody is claiming the abuse rate is zero, because that would be monumentally naive. I have no sympathy for those people, and hopefully you dont either. If you really think that stating this unpleasant fact about human nature makes me hateful, then so be it. Like it or not, there are some people who truly believe that it's the governments job to equalize the outcomes of individuals personal decisions. Those are the people who Romney was talking about. I dont agree they represent 47% of the population, but I dont think it is 0% either. Regardless of your political stripe, it is hard to dispute his assertion that there is probably nothing he can do or say to get them to vote for him anyways. That nugget is the kind of statement of absolute truth you dont often hear from politicians. Either way, even if someone really WANTS to work, sometimes the horrific economic climate makes that next to impossible (CNN has an ongoing series about some motivated, long-term unemployed people who have literally sent out hundreds of job applications over the course of months or years and still cant find anything). Given that sad state of affairs, it can create an incentive for some these folks to vote for whoever will continue their entitlement program in the short term. Maybe a real good job is still a year or more away, especially if they are retraining themselves, and in the meantime they still have to eat. This voting incentive, in a perverse way, rewards rather than punishes the stewards of the failed economic programs that are keeping them in this jam in the first place. |
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| 09-18-2012, 07:50 PM | #37 | |
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Lieutenant Colonel
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| 09-18-2012, 07:53 PM | #38 | |
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Private First Class
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| 09-18-2012, 08:16 PM | #39 | |
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Second Lieutenant
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Anyways, this time, I'm not so sure. This article supports my hypothesis: "one of the ironies of the 2012 presidential campaign is that the incumbent president has benefited from strong support among many of the constituencies that have been hardest-hit by high unemployment levels, particularly black Americans and Latino Americans. " http://www.cnn.com/2012/09/11/opinio...ney/index.html |
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| 09-18-2012, 08:48 PM | #40 | |
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Lieutenant Colonel
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| 09-20-2012, 08:26 AM | #41 | |
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Lieutenant
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First off, you stupidly link those who depend on handouts (none of which you identified as being an actual handout btw) with being associated with Obama as if any American who receives any assistance is an Obama voter. And you refer to Obama as, "Barry", showing clearly your contempt for the president. At that point, how seriously should your opinion be taken? I use those inflammatory terms tongue-in-cheek because you have implied quiet clearly that Obama voters are the less desired Americans who are needy of handouts by way of the gov't. You have dismissed the droves of Americans who too are hard-working, esteemed members of our society who also vote for him for other reasons. That shows you're bias playing off as if you actually have an objective view. You think those red states don't have undereducated, poor, gov't-dependent folks who vote for the other party? LOL High-horse 101, I'm tired of it. Sometimes I think some of you enter these discussions so you can get a pat on the back for overcoming your perceived hardships like you deserve a medal. You think your story is novel to the point it outshines people who too have overcome hardships WITH some help? Please. Look, Many may argue getting good grades and receiving a scholarship is too a handout when you consider there really isn't an alternative to doing well in school or than doing poorly. That's your duty. Why should you receive a HANDOUT for it? Oh, wait....how ya like that? If you think it's the gov't job to create an environment that encourages the private sector to create jobs, then you are essentially agreeing that the gov't plays SOME role in creating jobs which goes against every criticism you uttered thus far pertaining to how those dependent on the gov't are more burdern than help. Get your story straight and in order, please... |
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| 09-20-2012, 01:24 PM | #42 | ||
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Second Lieutenant
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FYI: a scholarship, by virtue of it's association to a certain standard of acheivement/performance required to EARN it, is not a handout. A grant or a bursary, on the other hand, is the academic equivalent of a handout. In my case, I didnt qualify for those as I was not a member of the right religious organizations, and my skin was the wrong color. I'm guessing you probably had 2 working parents to help you with any kind of education funding, so you would be unaware of such a distinction. Make no mistake, I'm not looking for a pat on the back. Knowing that I am doing better than many classmates who came from more advantaged households than I did is pat on the back enough for me. I'm just saying if I dragged my ass out of the mud, and now you want to use my tax dollars to support those who dont want to make the effort to drag their own asses out of the mud, then sorry, I have limited patience or sympathy for that. Quote:
My story is straight. Please take the time to read it again, or get someone to read it to you. Slowly. People who depend on the government for direct funding are more burden than help. (ie: there is no middleman, they receive compensation financially or otherwise directly from Uncle Sam). People who get compensation from private industry are contributing to the economy, and paying taxes that makes the lives of the other folks even possible. If my job becomes or remains fiscally sustainable due to some corporate tax break, that does not mean I am being paid by the government. It means the government is acting in a smart way to keep me employed so my taxes can fund services that others consume more than I do. If you are tired of reading other opinions, you are welcome to leave. Nobody is forcing you to read or post here. Somehow I suspect you are afflicted with whatever Scotch had, and you will probably be unable to restrain yourself from reading and posting. |
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| 09-20-2012, 05:15 PM | #43 | ||||||
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I like how you ignored my first two paragraphs.... If a scholarship is earned by meeting a standard, then certainly Social Security, Affirmative Action, and unemployment benefits are no different, although those benefits are associated with negative connotations. So, what point are you making? And some grants are extended to those who have parents killed in Iraq or Afghanistan, for example. Giving one's life for his/her country and receiving a benefit because of it is now considered a handout? Are you really that heartless? If your skin was the wrong color, you're statistically less likely to even make it to a college campus much less out of your twenties, so cry me a river. Society is set up for you to achieve whether you choose to acknowledge it or not. Quote:
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You sound bitter actually. If you find joy in what others haven't achieved, I see why you're aligned with the conservatives. Quote:
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Your opinion of past members or whomever damaged your internet ego prior to this thread is irrelevant to me and this discussion. This is not your frat house where you can intimidate members or join forces with others WHO DO agree with your crap... hoping majority rules. If you cannot handle an opposing view, YOU LEAVE and join nickelodeon.com. |
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| 09-20-2012, 06:12 PM | #44 | |||||
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Second Lieutenant
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Didnt ignore them, they were addressed in earlier posts, if you took the time to read. Must I not only provide the food, but cut it up and then spoon feed it to you? Fine... Post #40 in this thread contains a link to a CNN article which points out quite clearly that Obama supporters ARE clearly more likely to consume entitlements. Nationally, in the 18-29yr old bracket alone, 14% of Romney supporters are unemployed, while almost a third of Obama supporters are unemployed. States with the highest unemployment such as Calif are overwhelming Obama fans. If you are unemployed, you are probably consuming entitlements (unless you are living off a rich parent), and you are obviously more likely to fall into the 47% who pay no federal income taxes. Or, say you have a job, but its crappy and pays no benefits: Democrats rely heavily on the support of of voters who are the most likely to be uninsured for health care (blacks are 22% uninsured, latinos 32% uninsured, and these folks DONT support Romney. Whites are 14% uninsured.)
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Obviously the grants to children of parents killed while defending their country are on the honorable, positive accomplishment side. To suggest I would feel otherwise without any evidence of that is really reaching and putting disingenuous words in my mouth, just as you have done with others. Not terribly impressive; hard for me to take pride in dismantling that sort of feckless argument. Quote:
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