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Manual is going to have less issues than the DCT, lots of moving parts.
I would stay away from the 08 and 09 just because they fixed a lot of issues that were persistent between the two first years of production in the later models.
As far as warranty goes, there are no factory service manuals, this IS NOT a Nissan! So I would recommend the extended warranty, a couple issues can easily ring up more than 4,000 dollars. Remember that even though you are going to be buying an M3 for like 35-40k, it will still need to be repaired like a 70k+ vehicle.
Nick
p.s. if you are going to be doing "performance" mods, the best thing you can do for the car is go CF roof, a lot less top weight.
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