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      09-10-2007, 09:07 PM   #9
swamp2
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Join Date: Sep 2006
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CI

Quote:
Originally Posted by lucid View Post
My current thinking is that this thing will most likely come in at $57k-$59k, with some kind of broader confidence interval across $55k-$62k.

If you are referring to the exchange I had with another member regarding a bet: I wanted to bet higher than $54.5k and he wanted to bet lower than $56.0k, so it never happened.
Too bad it never made it to a bet.

My confidence interval is really high on the 58-63 number. Do you really need to go as low as $55k to have a high confidence?